The fuck is he talking about?

Or maybe I'm dumb and didn't get what he meant, but in any case. He should know for sure that she remembers the past lives. Because she changed A LOT of things.

I think here he's speaking metaphorically. The fact that Ines keeps being rebon over and over and over again and meeting the same tragic end over and over and over again is something like a never ending nightmare. I think that is what he meant

I’m pretty sure he was just asking the painter for a confirmation of something he already suspected because in chapter 85, which is where we first saw carcel get some of his memories, his inner monologue was asking Ines something along the lines of: “then did you already remember everything from the beginning?”.

This implies he already suspected she knew but never asked her which is why he’s now asking the painter for confirmation. Im guessing he didn’t want to ask Ines cause he wanted to wait for her to reveal it to him herself whenever she felt like she can since he said something similar to raul too.

There was a chapter where carcel was questioning raul and Raul did not want to answer and Carcel respected that, saying he did not want to force him to speak and would wait until Ines felt like telling carcel himself. I believe he is following through with that here by not brining it up to her first.

No, yeah, for sure! That's not what I'm confused about. I meant Emiliano. He said with such an unwavering certainty that she isn't like them. As if she doesn't know anything and can't do anything to change things, when she in fact did. And the first clue he should've caught up to is the fact that she did not hire him for the painting like last time, nor did she marry Oscar.

Ohh yeah I see what you’re saying, my bad. Hopefully it’s explained in the next chapter.